Regional Sustainability ›› 2022, Vol. 3 ›› Issue (4): 309-318.doi: 10.1016/j.regsus.2022.11.007cstr: 32279.14.j.regsus.2022.11.007
• Full Length Article • Previous Articles Next Articles
Isaac Ayo OLUWATIMILEHINa,*(), Joseph Omojesu AKERELEb, Tolulope Adedoyin OLADEJIc, Mojisola Hannah OMOGBEHINa, Godwin ATAIa
Received:
2022-08-09
Revised:
2022-11-01
Accepted:
2022-11-29
Published:
2022-12-30
Online:
2023-01-31
Contact:
Isaac Ayo OLUWATIMILEHIN
E-mail:oluwatimilehinisaac2@gmail.com
Isaac Ayo OLUWATIMILEHIN, Joseph Omojesu AKERELE, Tolulope Adedoyin OLADEJI, Mojisola Hannah OMOGBEHIN, Godwin ATAI. Assessment of the impact of climate change on the occurrences of malaria, pneumonia, meningitis, and cholera in Lokoja City, Nigeria[J]. Regional Sustainability, 2022, 3(4): 309-318.
Table 2
Correlations between climate parameters and the occurrence of the four kinds of diseases in Lokoja City."
Disease | Minimum temperature | Maximum temperature | Rainfall | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
r | P | r | P | r | P | |
Malaria | 0.09 | 0.69 | 0.80** | 0.00 | 0.54* | 0.01 |
Pneumonia | 0.37 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.21 | 0.36 |
Meningitis | 0.64** | 0.00 | ?0.22 | 0.35 | ?0.34 | 0.14 |
Cholera | 0.13 | 0.57 | 0.09 | 0.68 | 0.66* | 0.01 |
Table 3
Regression results of climate parameters on the occurrence of the four kinds of diseases."
Disease | Standardized coefficient | R2 | F | P | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minimum temperature | Maximum temperature | Rainfall | |||||
Malaria | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.28 | 0.71** | 14.18 | 0.00 | |
Pneumonia | 0.37 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 1.38 | 0.28 | |
Meningitis | 0.64 | ?0.22 | ?0.22 | 0.52* | 6.03 | 0.01 | |
Cholera | 0.20 | ?0.20 | 0.74 | 0.50* | 5.57 | 0.01 |
[1] |
Abaje, I.B., Abdullahi, N., Jeje, O.G., 2016. Climate change and infectious diseases in funtua local government area of Katsina State, Nigeria. AFRREV STECH An International Journal of Science and Technology. 5(1), 47-58.
doi: 10.4314/stech.v5i1.5 |
[2] |
Abdussalam, A.F., 2017. Potential future risk of cholera due to climate change in northern Nigeria. African Research Review. 11(1), 205-218.
doi: 10.4314/afrrev.v11i1.15 |
[3] |
Adejuwon, J.O., 2005. Food crop production in Nigeria. I. present effects of climate variability. Clim. Res. 30(1), 53-60.
doi: 10.3354/cr030053 |
[4] | Adejuwon, J.O., 2012. An assessment of the effect of climate variability on selected agricultural practices and yields in Sokoto-Rima River Basin, Nigeria. Phd Dissertation. Ile Ife: Obafemi Awolowo University, 46-47. |
[5] |
Adeoye, N.O., 2012. Spatio-temporal analysis of land use/cover change of Lokoja-a confluence town. Journal of Geography and Geology. 4(4), 40, doi: 10.5539/jgg.v4n4p40.
doi: 10.5539/jgg.v4n4p40 |
[6] |
Adepoju, K., Adelabu, S., Fashae, O., 2019. Vegetation response to recent trends in climate and landuse dynamics in a typical humid and dry tropical region under global change. Adv. Meteorol. 4946127, doi: 10.1155/2019/4946127.
doi: 10.1155/2019/4946127 |
[7] | Adojoh, O., Dada, S., 2015. Geomorphic resources and tourism potentials of the Niger-Benue confluence area, central Nigeria. Journal of Geosciences and Geomatics. 3(2), 44-49. |
[8] |
Altizer, S., Dobson, A., Hosseini, P., et al., 2006. Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious diseases. Ecol. Lett. 9(4), 467-484.
doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00879.x pmid: 16623732 |
[9] | Animashaun, I.M., Adeoye, P.A., Otache, M.Y., 2020. Rainfall variability and trend analysis over Lokoja, Nigeria. Covenant Journal of Engineering Technology. 4(2), 32-42. |
[10] | Ayoade, J.O., 2003. Climate Change: A Synopsis of Its Nature, Causes, Effects and Management. Ibadan: Vantage Publishers, 124. |
[11] | Bouchard, C., Dibernardo, A., Koffi, J., et al., 2019. Increased risk of tick-borne diseases with climate and environmental changes. Canada Communicable Disease Report. 45(4), 83-89. |
[12] | Buba, L.F., Ibrahim, A.M., 2017. Temperature variations as evidence of climate change in northern Nigeria. Bayero Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences. 10(2), 99-106. |
[13] |
Burrows, K., Kinney, P.L., 2016. Exploring the climate change, migration and conflict nexus. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health. 13(4), 443, doi: 10.3390/ijerph13040443.
doi: 10.3390/ijerph13040443 |
[14] |
Caminade, C., Mclntyre, K.M., Jones, A.E., 2019. Impact of recent and future climate change on vector-borne diseases. Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci. 1436(1), 157-173.
doi: 10.1111/nyas.13950 |
[15] |
Dantas-Torres, F., 2015. Climate change, biodiversity, ticks and tick-borne diseases: The butterfly effect. Int. J. Parasitol. Parasites Wildl. 4(3), 452-461.
doi: 10.1016/j.ijppaw.2015.07.001 |
[16] |
Deen, J., Mengel, M.A., Clemens, J.D., 2020. Epidemiology of cholera. Vaccine. 38(Suppl 1), A31-A40.
doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.07.078 |
[17] | Ebi, K.L., Vanos, J., Baldwin, J.W., et al., 2021. Extreme weather and climate change: population health and health system implications. Annu. Rev. Public Health. 42, 293-315. |
[18] |
Fouque, F., Reeder, J.C., 2019. Impact of past and on-going changes on climate and weather on vector-borne diseases transmission: a look at the evidence. Infect. Dis. Poverty. 8(1), 51, doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.07.078.
doi: 10.1186/s40249-019-0565-1 pmid: 31196187 |
[19] |
Iannella, H.A., Luna, C.M., 2016. Community-acquired pneumonia in Latin America. Seminars in Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 37(6), 868-875.
pmid: 27960210 |
[20] |
Ike, F., Mbonu, C., 2019. Effects of weather and climatic elements on the incidence of pneumonia in Kaduna south local government area, North Western Nigeria. Earth Sciences. 8(3), 126-131.
doi: 10.11648/j.earth.20190803.11 |
[21] |
McIver, L., Kim, R., Woodward, A., et al., 2016. Health impacts of climate change in Pacific island countries: A regional assessment of vulnerabilities and adaptation priorities. Environ. Health Perspect. 124(11), 1707-1714.
doi: 10.1289/ehp.1509756 |
[22] |
Miyayo, S.F., Owili, P.O., Muga, M.A., et al., 2021. Analysis of pneumonia occurrence in relation to climate change in Tanga, Tanzania. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health. 18(9), 4731, doi: 10.3390/ijerph18094731.
doi: 10.3390/ijerph18094731 |
[23] |
Nikolaev, B., Salahodjaev, R., 2017. Historical prevalence of infectious diseases, cultural values, and the origins of economic institutions. Kyklos. 70(1), 97-128.
doi: 10.1111/kykl.12132 |
[24] | Paaijmans, K.P., Read, A.R., Thomas, M.B., 2009. Understanding the link between malaria risk and climate. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 106(33), 13844-13849. |
[25] |
Pfavayi, L.T., Denning, D.W., Baker, S., et al., 2021. Determining the burden of fungal infections in Zimbabwe. Sci. Rep. 11(1), 13240, doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-92605-1.
doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-92605-1 pmid: 34168204 |
[26] | Raimi, M.O., Vivien, O.T., O, O.A., et al., 2018. Environmental Health and Climate Change in Nigeria. SSRN. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3382888. |
[27] | Rodó, X., Pascual, M., Fuchs, G., et al., 2002. Enso and cholera: A nonstationary link related to climate change? Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 99(20), 12901-12906. |
[28] |
Rocklöv, J., Dubrow, R., 2020. Climate change: an enduring challenge for vector-borne disease prevention and control. Nat. Immunol. 21(5), 479-483.
doi: 10.1038/s41590-020-0648-y pmid: 32313242 |
[29] |
Schwerdtle, P., Bowen, K., McMichael, C., 2018. The health impacts of climate-related migration. BMC Med. 16(1), 1, doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0981-7.
doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0981-7 |
[30] |
Semenza, J.C., Paz, S., 2021. Climate change and infectious disease in Europe: Impact, projection and adaptation. Lancet Reg. Health-Eu. 9, 100230, doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100230.
doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100230 |
[31] |
Tol, R.S.J., Ebi, K.L., Yohe, G.W., 2007. Infectious disease, development, and climate change: a scenario analysis. Environ Dev Econ. 12(5), 687-706.
doi: 10.1017/S1355770X07003841 |
[32] |
Turner, B., Devisscher, T., Chabaneix, N., 2022. The role of nature-based solutions in supporting social-ecological resilience for climate change adaptation. Annu. Rev. Env. Resour. 47, 123-148.
doi: 10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-010017 |
[33] | Wang, C., Deser, C., Yu, J.Y., et al., 2017. El Niño and southern oscillation (ENSO):A review. In: PGlynn., DManzello., IEnochs., (eds.). Coral Reefs of the Eastern Tropical Pacific. Coral Reefs of the World. Dordrecht: Springer, 85-106. |
[34] |
Webber, M., Joubert, J., Fendt-Newlin, M., 2020. Towards the development of an intervention to address social determinants of non-communicable disease in Kerala, India: a mixed methods study. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health. 17(22), 8636, doi: 10.3390/ijerph17228636.
doi: 10.3390/ijerph17228636 |
[35] | WHO (World Health Organization), 2017. Inheriting A Sustainable World: Atlas on Children’s Health and The Environment. Geneva: World Health Organization, 44-51. |
[36] | WHO, 2021. World Malaria Report 2021. Geneva: WHO, 21-34. |
[37] |
Wu, X.X., Lu, Y.M., Zhou, S., et al., 2016. Impact of climate change on human infectious diseases: Empirical evidence and human adaptation. Environ. Int. 86, 14-23.
doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2015.09.007 pmid: 26479830 |
[1] | Issa NYASHILU, Robert KIUNSI, Alphonce KYESSI. Climate change vulnerability assessment in the new urban planning process in Tanzania [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2024, 5(3): 100155-. |
[2] | Homayoon RAOUFI, Hamidreza JAFARI, Wakil Ahmad SARHADI, Esmail SALEHI. Assessing the impact of climate change on agricultural production in central Afghanistan [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2024, 5(3): 100156-. |
[3] | Frank BAFFOUR-ATA, Louisa BOAKYE, Moses Tilatob GADO, Ellen BOAKYE-YIADOM, Sylvia Cecilia MENSAH, Senyo Michael KWAKU KUMFO, Kofi Prempeh OSEI OWUSU, Emmanuel CARR, Emmanuel DZIKUNU, Patrick DAVIES. Climatic and non-climatic factors driving the livelihood vulnerability of smallholder farmers in Ahafo Ano North District, Ghana [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2024, 5(3): 100157-. |
[4] | SONG Boyi, ZHANG Shihang, LU Yongxing, GUO Hao, GUO Xing, WANG Mingming, ZHANG Yuanming, ZHOU Xiaobing, ZHUANG Weiwei. Characteristics and drivers of the soil multifunctionality under different land use and land cover types in the drylands of China [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2024, 5(3): 100162-. |
[5] | Camillus Abawiera WONGNAA, Alex Amoah SEYRAM, Suresh BABU. A systematic review of climate change impacts, adaptation strategies, and policy development in West Africa [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2024, 5(2): 100137-. |
[6] | Suchitra PANDEY, Geetilaxmi MOHAPATRA, Rahul ARORA. Spatio-temporal variation of depth to groundwater level and its driving factors in arid and semi-arid regions of India [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2024, 5(2): 100143-. |
[7] | Ramya Kundayi RAVI, Priya BABY, Nidhin ELIAS, Jisa George THOMAS, Kathyayani Bidadi VEERABHADRAIAH, Bharat PAREEK. Preparedness, knowledge, and perception of nursing students about climate change and its impact on human health in India [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2024, 5(1): 100116-. |
[8] | Ashma SUBEDI, Nani RAUT, Smriti GURUNG. How Himalayan communities are changing cultivation practices in the context of climate change [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2023, 4(4): 378-389. |
[9] | Liton Chandra VOUMIK, Md. Hasanur RAHMAN, Md. Maznur RAHMAN, Mohammad RIDWAN, Salma AKTER, Asif RAIHAN. Toward a sustainable future: Examining the interconnectedness among Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), urbanization, trade openness, economic growth, and energy usage in Australia [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2023, 4(4): 405-415. |
[10] | Rula AWAD, Hosam TITI, Aziza MOHAMED-BRAHMI, Mohamed JAOUAD, Aziza GASMI-BOUBAKER. Small ruminant value chain in Al-Ruwaished District, Jordan [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2023, 4(4): 416-424. |
[11] | WU Fan, LIANG Youjia, LIU Lijun, YIN Zhangcai, HUANG Jiejun. Identifying eco-functional zones on the Chinese Loess Plateau using ecosystem service bundles [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2023, 4(4): 425-440. |
[12] | Arifah , Darmawan SALMAN, Amir YASSI, Eymal Bahsar DEMMALLINO. Knowledge flow analysis of knowledge co-production-based climate change adaptation for lowland rice farmers in Bulukumba Regency, Indonesia [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2023, 4(2): 194-202. |
[13] | Tobias ACKERL, Lemlem Fitwi WELDEMARIAM, Mary NYASIMI, Ayansina AYANLADE. Climate change risk, resilience, and adaptation among rural farmers in East Africa: A literature review [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2023, 4(2): 185-193. |
[14] | Enoch YELELIERE, Philip ANTWI-AGYEI, Frank BAFFOUR-ATA. Impacts of climate change on the yields of leguminous crops in the Guinea Savanna agroecological zone of Ghana [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2023, 4(2): 139-149. |
[15] | Girma TILAHUN, Amare BANTIDER, Desalegn YAYEH. Synergies and trade-offs of climate-smart agriculture (CSA) practices selected by smallholder farmers in Geshy watershed, Southwest Ethiopia [J]. Regional Sustainability, 2023, 4(2): 129-138. |
Viewed | ||||||
Full text |
|
|||||
Abstract |
|
|||||